← Election Series · State Legislature coverage · Arizona districts
Endorses Dunn
The district
Legislative District 25 covers Buckeye and the Yuma fringe — fast-growing West Valley ground plus border-country communities. Its partisan baseline is strongly Republican: the district voted Republican by 29.4 points for president in 2024 (R+29.4).
Three seats are at stake: one in the Arizona Senate and two in the Arizona House, where voters vote for two. Every Republican incumbent was renominated. Democrats fielded a Senate nominee and a single House nominee for two seats.
The Senate race
Tim Dunn (R) is the incumbent, in his first term. He was unopposed in 2024. He won the 2026 Republican primary with 22,443 votes.
Dunn's best honest case — and the case against complacency — is the same fact: he has never faced a contested general election for this seat. His supporters can fairly say the district's voters and his party have seen no reason to replace him, and his primary total of 22,443 shows a large, engaged base in a high-growth district.
Pros: Incumbent; a commanding primary vote total; represents an R+29.4 district in line with its voters' presidential choice. Cons: Unopposed in 2024 means his record has not been stress-tested in a contested general election in this record. No proven flaw was located — and none is invented here. An untested record is priced as unproven where it is unproven, not as a demerit.
Laura Huber (D) is the Democratic nominee, a mental health counselor. She won her primary with 11,377 votes and had raised $7,066 as of March 2026.
Huber's best honest case: she is a working professional in a helping field running in a district where her party is outnumbered roughly three-to-two at the presidential level, giving voters a contested race and a perspective from outside politics. That candidacy deserves a fair statement, and it has one.
Pros: Contests the seat; a professional background outside government; a five-figure primary vote total in hostile territory. Cons: She runs as a Democrat in an R+29.4 district, and no documented break with her party toward our values — the Manchin test — was located in this record. Enabler pricing applies to the party-line profile; no extremist program was documented for her personally.
The flaw, plainly: No proven flaw was located for either Senate candidate in this record. The Senate call below rests on district, party program, and caucus math — where a Senate organizing vote is the heaviest in state government because majorities control confirmations.
The House race
Voters choose two. The Republican incumbents, Michael Carbone (R) and Nick Kupper (R), were both renominated — Carbone with 18,931 votes and Kupper with 16,758. The only Democratic nominee is Tiffany Byrne (D), with 11,357 votes, for two seats: even a Byrne win fills one seat and leaves the other Republican by arithmetic.
Carbone's and Kupper's best case is incumbency in a district that elects Republicans by wide margins, with primary totals that show both men hold their base. Byrne's best case mirrors Huber's: she contests a seat in hard territory, and her 11,357 primary votes are a real showing for a lone nominee.
Pros / Cons, tightly: Carbone — pro: incumbent, led the Republican primary field; con: no proven flaw located, none priced. Kupper — pro: incumbent, renominated decisively; con: no proven flaw located, none priced. Byrne — pro: contests the race with a substantial primary total; con: party-line Democrat, no Manchin-test break located, one nominee for two seats.
The flaw, plainly: No proven personal flaw was located for any House candidate in this record. The Democratic nominee is priced as an enabler, not an extremist.
OUR CALL
Senate — ENDORSE Dunn. An incumbent Republican in an R+29.4 district, renominated with 22,443 votes, with no proven flaw located, against a party-line Democratic challenger with no Manchin-test break located — and with the Senate's organizing vote, the heaviest in the building, on the line. That is the endorsement the criteria produce.
House — ENDORSE Carbone and Kupper. Both are renominated Republican incumbents, no proven flaw was located against either, and the lone Democratic nominee carries enabler pricing with no break located. House caucus math would forgive more than this; it is not needed here.
For the complete Election 2026 breakdown — every race, claim by claim — see the full coverage on our website.
Vote early. Research your candidates. Choose the best moderates, whatever their party — no extremism from either side. And encourage your friends and family to do the same.
Sources
- Wikipedia, "2026 Arizona Senate election" and "2026 Arizona House of Representatives election" (compiling Arizona Secretary of State primary results, July 21, 2026, and SeeTheMoney campaign-finance reports as of March 2026) — rosters, primary vote totals, fundraising figures, and the 2024 presidential baseline by district (Dave's Redistricting, via Wikipedia).
- Record gaps: Dunn's itemized vote record, and Huber's and Byrne's positions and signature claims, could not be itemized from the compiled source at this sourcing depth; no additional reputable outlet reporting on these races was used. Where the record was thin, the article says so instead of padding it.
- Standing check: no pedophile-association material meeting the proven standard was located for any candidate on this ballot
Result pending. No verified call (Associated Press or official) as of November 4, 2026. This page will be updated when the race is called or certified. The original article above is unchanged.
AI-assisted article — but the sources are human, and the facts are very real.
← All Arizona state-legislative districts · Full state-legislative enumeration