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Endorses Carroll

The district

Legislative District 28 covers Sun City and Peoria in the Northwest Valley. Its partisan baseline is Republican: the district voted Republican by 23.1 points for president in 2024 (R+23.1).

Three seats are at stake: one in the Arizona Senate and two in the Arizona House, where voters vote for two. All three Republican incumbents were renominated. Democrats fielded a Senate nominee and two House nominees, so every race on this ballot is contested.

The Senate race

Frank Carroll (R) is the incumbent, in his second term. In 2024 he received 98.9% of the vote against a Democratic write-in — a figure that describes the 2024 ballot more than it describes a contest. He won the 2026 Republican primary with 32,411 votes, the largest primary total in this district's races.

Carroll's best honest case: a two-term incumbent with a five-figure primary mandate in a district that votes Republican by 23 points, finally facing a named Democratic opponent in a general election — which is healthier for voters than a write-in line, whatever the outcome.

Pros: Two terms of experience; 32,411 primary votes; represents a strongly Republican district in line with its voters. Cons: His 2024 general election was effectively uncontested, so this record contains no contested general-election test of him. No proven flaw was located — and none is manufactured here. An untested cycle is priced as unproven, not as a demerit.

Michael Braun (D) is the Democratic nominee. He won his primary with 18,256 votes — a substantial total in an R+23.1 district — and had raised $810 as of March 2026.

Braun's best honest case: 18,256 primary voters is a real constituency, larger than many nominees draw in winnable districts, and he is giving this district its first named-choice Senate general election of the cycle. His supporters can fairly say representation arguments deserve a hearing even in safe seats.

Pros: Contests the seat with a substantial primary showing; gives voters a named alternative. Cons: He runs as a Democrat in an R+23.1 district, and no documented break with his party toward our values — the Manchin test — was located in this record. Enabler pricing applies to the party-line profile; no extremist program was documented for him personally. The $810 raised is a documented limit on his campaign.

The flaw, plainly: No proven flaw was located for either Senate candidate in this record. The call rests on district, party program, and Senate caucus math, where an organizing vote controls confirmations.

The House race

Voters choose two. The Republican incumbents, Beverly Pingerelli (R) and David Livingston (R), were both renominated — Pingerelli with 25,694 votes and Livingston with 23,982. A third Republican, Heather Rooks, was eliminated with 11,819 votes — a primary total larger than some nominees post, printed here because it shows the depth of the Republican field voters sorted through.

The Democratic nominees are Barbara Fike (D), with 15,901 votes, and Marc Graham (D), with 13,352.

Pingerelli's and Livingston's best case is a renominated incumbent pair with the two largest primary totals in the race. Fike's and Graham's best case is a complete Democratic slate with five-figure totals in a district where their party starts 23 points down — contesting both seats, not conceding either.

Pros / Cons, tightly: Pingerelli — pro: incumbent, led the entire House field; con: no proven flaw located, none priced. Livingston — pro: incumbent, renominated with 23,982 votes; con: no proven flaw located, none priced. Fike — pro: led the Democratic field; con: party-line Democrat, no Manchin-test break located. Graham — pro: completes the Democratic slate; con: party-line Democrat, no break located.

The flaw, plainly: No proven personal flaw was located for any House candidate in this record. The Democratic nominees are priced as enablers, not extremists.

OUR CALL

Senate — ENDORSE Carroll. A two-term Republican incumbent, renominated with 32,411 votes, no proven flaw located, in an R+23.1 district, with the Senate's confirmation-controlling organizing vote at stake, against a party-line Democratic challenger with no Manchin-test break located.

House — ENDORSE Pingerelli and Livingston. Renominated Republican incumbents with the field's largest primary totals and no proven flaw located against either, against two party-line Democratic nominees with no break located. The criteria and the district point the same way.

For the complete Election 2026 breakdown — every race, claim by claim — see the full coverage on our website.

Vote early. Research your candidates. Choose the best moderates, whatever their party — no extremism from either side. And encourage your friends and family to do the same.


Sources

Election result — November 4, 2026

Result pending. No verified call (Associated Press or official) as of November 4, 2026. This page will be updated when the race is called or certified. The original article above is unchanged.

AI-assisted article — but the sources are human, and the facts are very real.

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